Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems

Name Max Wind Classification Lat Lon
Florence 105 mph Category 2 21.4N 44.8W
Gordon 40 mph Tropical Storm 31.5N 89.5W

Hurricane Florence has winds near 105 mph. It is about 1440 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. It is moving northwest near 13 mph. The system is expected to weaken somewhat over the next couple to few days as it tracks northwest into an environment with higher wind shear.

By the early to middle portion of next week, Florence is expected to reach an environment where it could restrengthen. During the 6-8 day time frame, it may track near Bermuda. However, the forecast certainty during the time is quite low. Please see our latest advisory.

Tropical Storm Gordon is weakening quickly as it tracks inland over southern Mississippi. By tonight, the center of circulation is expected move into southeastern Arkansas as a tropical depression or remnant low. From there, it will move slowly northwest across Arkansas through Friday producing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. For today, areas of heavy showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds are expected across southern Alabama and Mississippi. Please see our latest advisory for more details.

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 31 is along 82W in the western Caribbean. It is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. The system will continue to track westward. It is expected to remain weak and not develop.

Disturbance 33 is near 12N, 27W. It moving west near 10 mph. A west, and at times west-northwest, motion is expected over the next 7 days. The system has a very high (90 percent) chance of development. It has become better organized over the last 24 hours. We continue to think that if it did reach the eastern Caribbean, it would not do so until late next week.

Meteorologists: Cameron Self / George Harvey / Matt Haworth