Active Systems
| Name | Max Wind | Classification | Lat | Lon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beryl | 75 mph | Category 1 | 11.1N | 49.8W |
| Tropical Depression Three | 30 mph | Tropical Depression | 33.2N | 74.6W |
Beryl
Hurricane Beryl is currently centered about 830 miles to the east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 75 mph. Beryl continues to be a very small system. It is less organized than it was this time yesterday and it could be a little weaker than we are currently indicating. Its current forward motion is to the west-northwest at 14 mph. A general west-northwest motion is expected to continue. This motion will bring the system over the Lesser Antilles by Sunday night.
The presence of dry air and wind shear ahead of Beryl is expected to weaken the system as it approaches Barbados and the Lesser Antilles. There is a chance that it could disorganize into a remnant trough of low pressure by the time it reaches the islands. However, even if it does lose its tropical cyclone status, it will still be capable of producing strong, gusty thunderstorms capable of knocking out power and causing minor damage. Any strong winds will likely be limited to within 40 miles to the north of the center.
As Beryl tracks into the eastern Caribbean Sunday night and into Monday, atmospheric conditions will likely become even less favorable. Therefore, by Monday or Monday night, Beryl will likely weaken to a remnant trough of low pressure producing gusty shower and thunderstorm activity.
Please see our latest advisory for more details.
Tropical Depression Three
Tropical Depression Three is centered about 145 miles to the south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The system is weak and disorganized. Gradual strengthening is expected over the next couple of days as the system meanders offshore of North Carolina. By Monday or Tuesday, it is expected to begin accelerating to the northeast while strengthening. We cannot rule out the system briefly attaining hurricane status by mid-week if the atmospheric conditions allow.
By Thursday, the system may track near Newfoundland. It will likely have lost its tropical characteristics by that point. However, it will be capable of producing gale force winds along with heavy squalls. Therefore, those with interests in Atlantic Canada should monitor the system closely. Other than some enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity along the Carolina and Mid-Atlantic coasts this weekend, Tropical Depression Three is not expected to significantly impact the east coast of the United States.
Please see our latest advisory for more details.
Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 12 is inland over southern Mexico and has been removed from our analysis.
Meteorologists: Cameron Self / Matt Haworth
