Active Systems
None

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 13 is located near the mouth of the Mississippi River this morning. The system remains very weak and is poorly organized. Upper-level wind shear and its close proximity to land will keep development chances very low, less than 10 percent. Most of the squalls overnight have been onshore and well west of the center. We expect it to move into southeastern Louisiana today, then westward into southeastern Texas tomorrow.

Even though the development potential is very low, the system will produce heavy rainfall across southern Louisiana and southeastern Texas over the next couple of days. In general, accumulations will average 1-3 inches of rain over the next 36 to 48 hours. However, some areas could see as much as 4-6 inches. No widespread flooding is expected.

A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form just west of Bermuda over the next couple of days. The system will briefly move westward, then turn to the northeast and move away from the U.S. There is a 10 percent chance it could acquire some tropical characteristics next weekend before accelerating northeastward and being absorbed by a frontal system.

Disturbance 11 is located in the western Caribbean Sea along 79W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph. No tropical development is expected.

Disturbance 12 is located along 53W. It is moving westward at 20 mph. No tropical development is expected.

Disturbance 14 is located along 26W. It is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days. There is a fairly large area of squalls associated with this disturbance. However, conditions are not favorable for development. The chance of tropical development during the next 7 days is near zero.

Meteorologist: Jim Palmer