The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center (LMRFC) released this update below on river stage conditions (today).  

The crest on the lower Mississippi River is approaching Arkansas City, AR.   

Minor flooding continues at Red River Landing, LA and it is forecast for Natchez, MS by this weekend.  The lower Mississippi River should crest at all locations by the end of next week.

Over the next several days, a minor rise is forecast on the lower Ohio River and crests should remain below flood levels.


The rises on the lower Ohio River will only slow down the recessions on the lower Mississippi River.


One to three inches of rainfall is expected over the lower Mississippi Valley during the next few days.  This rainfall will not significantly impact the crests on the lower Mississippi River. 


The 16 day future rainfall guidance is very close to the official forecast.  The stages on the 16 day guidance are slightly higher and no additional flooding is forecast for the remainder of April.

(Emphasis supplied)


The Carrolton Gage (New Orleans) reading at 1300 hours today was 11.97 feet and is predicted to slowly rise to 12.6 feet (April 13) and then begin a slow fall to 10.5 feet on May 4 (2023) long-range forecasts predict a slow fall.


The graphs below include the latest river stage forecasts for Cairo (IL) and New Orleans (LA) as reproduced from NOAA’s National Weather Service website (today) and indicates a slow rise for a week or so and then to begin a slow fall – barring future participation impacts.