Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems

Name Max Wind Classification Lat Lon
Kirk 35 mph Tropical Depression 9.5N 37.4W
Leslie 40 mph Subtropical Storm 33.2N 48.7W

Kirk
Tropical Depression Kirk is located about 950 miles to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. It is moving to the west at 23 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. Kirk is forecast to be a tropical storm as it moves across the Lesser Antilles on Thursday and will likely produce gusty winds and heavy rainfall. It is likely to dissipate in the central Caribbean by the weekend. Please see our latest advisory located on your StormGeo web portal for more information.

Leslie
Subtropical Storm Leslie will slowly meander over the northern Atlantic over the next 2 days. Beyond then, our forecast predicts that it will be absorbed into another low pressure system that may also become a tropical or subtropical storm that meanders over roughly the same region. No land impacts are expected. Please see our latest advisory located on your StormGeo web portal for more information.

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 42 remains a weak low-pressure system located about 430 miles southwest of Bermuda near 30.3N, 71.7W. It is moving to the west at 6 mph. There continues to be limited thunderstorm activity with the low. There is a 30 percent chance of subtropical or tropical development. The low is expected to track towards the northwest, with it likely passing just east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina tomorrow into Wednesday. By Thursday into Friday, the low will quickly track towards the northeast as environmental conditions become more unfavorable for development.

Disturbance 45 has been identified as a trough of low pressure that is located along the coast of Africa. We think that there is a 10 percent chance of tropical development over the next seven days as it tracks towards the west-northwest.

A non-tropical low will likely form along a frontal system several hundred miles to the west of the Azores by Wednesday. This low may obtain subtropical or tropical characteristics by the end of the week. There is a 50 percent chance of subtropical or tropical development over the next seven days. This potential system is likely to meander well west of the Azores through the upcoming weekend.

The remnants of Tropical Depression Eleven continues to weaken. Development is not expected as it tracks westward.

Meteorologists: Justin Petrutsas / Cameron Self