Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems

Name Max Wind Classification Lat Lon
Florence 65 mph Tropical Storm 25.7N 50.8W

Florence
Florence has been downgraded to a tropical storm, but will likely begin re-intensifying later today or early tomorrow. It currently has winds near 65 mph and is about 955 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Florence could track near Bermuda by early next week. The forecast beyond about Monday-Tuesday of next week remains highly uncertain. It is too early to predict with confidence whether or not the system will impact the United States outside of increased swell. Please see our latest advisory for more details.

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
The remnants of Gordon will enhance shower and thunderstorm activity over the central U.S. through tomorrow. Beyond then, it will be absorbed by a frontal boundary to its north.

Disturbance 33 is near 14N, 34W. It moving west near 10 mph. A west to west-northwest motion is expected over the next week or so. The system has a 90 percent chance of development. We continue to think that if it did reach the eastern Caribbean, it would not do so until late next week.

Disturbance 34 is located along 19W and is moving west near 12 mph. It has a 90 percent chance of development. We cannot rule out the system already being a tropical storm by the time it moves over the southern Cape Verde Islands on Sunday morning.

Disturbance 35 has formed and extends from western Cuba northeastward across the southeastern Florida Peninsula and into the western Bahamas. It is producing disorganized thunderstorms and will enhance rainfall across much of Florida over the next couple of days. There is little to no risk of development.

Disturbance 31 has dissipated.

Meteorologists: Jim Palmer / Matt Haworth