A forecast update provided today by our colleagues from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center (LMRFC) is here. The most recent crest at New Orleans (Carrollton Gage) occurred on March 22, 2022 with a reading of at 13.82 feet recorded at 2100 hours, this crest is the highest Carrollton Gage reading of the year (2022). The latest reading of the Carrollton Gage was 13.13 feet recorded at 1400 hours today. The forecast predicts the stages will continue a slow steady fall to 8.3 feet on April 27, 2022.
The following details are reproduced from the attached report:
“Rainfall is expected over the middle and lower Mississippi Valley today. During the next several days, minor rises are forecast on the Mississippi River above the confluence with the Ohio River. This rise will only slow recessions on the lower Mississippi River.
On the lower Mississippi River, minor flooding should end at Natchez, MS by tomorrow and Red River Landing, LA should fall below flood stage by the second week in April.
Rainfall today may cause some renewed minor flooding over smaller tributaries in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.
The 16 day future rainfall guidance continues to show a couple of rises on the lower Ohio River through the middle of April. The guidance is showing crests on the lower Ohio River being below flood levels. The rises would prolong flooding at Red River Landing, LA and extend elevated levels on the lower Mississippi River through late April.”