Attached is the latest update from the NWS/NOAA.

This update provides more information regarding rainfall and storm-force wind coverage.

Situation Overview

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  •  Potential Tropical Cyclone Advisory initiated at 10 AM Wednesday.
  • Tropical Storm Watch Mouth of MS River to Morgan City.
  • Storm Surge Watch Mouth of the Pearl River to Morgan City.
  • Atmospheric conditions and ocean temperatures favor strengthening and tropical system expected to develop into hurricane late Friday into the weekend before reaching the coast.

TS Wind Speed Probabilities

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  • Low Pressure is expected to move southwest and develop into a Tropical Storm on Thursday
  • Tropical system is expected to turn north west Friday and Saturday and approach the coast as a hurricane.
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds could begin as early as late Thursday into early Friday.

Hurricane Wind Speed Probabilities

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  • Highest Hurricane Wind Probabilities are currently along the coast west of the Mississippi River.
  • However, this will be highly dependent on adjustments to track.

Earliest Reasonable Time of Arrival

 

  • Earliest reasonable time of Tropical storm force winds – late Thursday into early Friday.
  • Most likely time of tropical storm wind would be Friday.

Storm Surge Watch