Feature 3L has been designated as a significant tropical disturbance that is currently located over the Yucatan Peninsula. The disturbance is a broad area of low pressure that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly over land. Feature 3L is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche this weekend and gradually move through the basin next week. Conditions over the region are favorable for tropical development, characterized by warm seas surface temperatures and favorable wind shear. There is a least a low chance for tropical cyclone development later this weekend into next week.

Elsewhere, conditions are mostly unfavorable across the basin, however, forecast guidance indicates a frontal boundary will stall over the Central Atlantic next week and this would be favorable for possible sub-tropical development. Potential for this is currently very low.