Active Systems
| Name | Max Wind | Classification | Lat | Lon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 30 mph | Tropical Disturbance | 18.4N | 85.8W |
3
Disturbance 3 continues moving slowly northward in the northwest Caribbean Sea. Model guidance overnight has not come into any better agreement on its eventual track, but all guidance indicates a rather unfavorable environment across the Gulf of Mexico over the next 5 days. This means that the disturbance will not likely become a strong tropical storm or a hurricane.
Our forecast takes the disturbance into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow then northward toward the central Florida Panhandle. We think that there is a 70 percent chance that the disturbance will be classified as a tropical depression and possibly a tropical storm by Saturday. However, any tropical storm-force wind will be confined to heavier squalls offshore. The primary threat to the southeast U.S. will be heavy rainfall across Florida, Georgia, and Alabama through the holiday weekend. Please see our latest advisory for further details.
Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
There are no other disturbances in the Atlantic Basin.
Meteorologist: Chris Hebert
