Active Systems

32
Disturbance 32 is located about 160 miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. This is referred to as Potential Tropical Cyclone Six by the National Hurricane Center. Our forecast takes the potential storm across the southern Cape Verde Islands over the next 12 to 18 hours as it tracks to the west-northwest. During the early to middle part of next week it will turn to the northwest, followed by a turn to the north late next week. It poses no threat to any land areas once it passes the Cape Verde Islands. There is a 90 percent chance it will become a depression or tropical storm over the next 12 to 24 hours.

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 30 extends from the central Caribbean Sea northeastward across the Island of Hispaniola. The northern portion of the disturbance is interacting with an upper level low currently north of Cuba. This interaction could result in a low chance of some development once the disturbance approaches the Gulf of Mexico next week. At this time we think there is a 20 percent chance of development. However, the latest guidance indicates the system will likely remain weak and not become a depression. Still, there is potential for a depression or even weak tropical storm in the Gulf next week. The system could enhance rain chances fro the western Florida Panhandle into South Texas, depending on the eventual track across the Gulf.

Disturbance 31 is located along 41W, and is moving to move to the west near 15 mph. There is little to no chance of tropical development.

Meteorologist: Jim Palmer