Active Systems
None

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 30 is located along 60W, about 60 miles east of the Leeward Islands. It is moving to the west-northwest near 12 mph. This motion is expected to continue for the next several days. On this track, the disturbance will move over the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next day or two. Some development is possible this weekend as the disturbance approaches the southern Bahamas. We expect squalls to increase in association with the disturbance in the 4 to 6 day time frame, as it moves through the southern Bahamas, toward the Florida Peninsula. Most guidance does not develop this system much. However, the European model indicates there is some potential for development as it approaches Florida early next week. Beyond 7 days, the disturbance may move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico, where the chance of tropical development could be a little higher. Overall development chances are around 10 percent.

Disturbance 31 is located along 23W, and is moving to move to the west near 10 mph. There is a 5 percent chance of tropical development. However, the system is unlikely to affect any land areas.

Disturbance 31 will move off of Africa tomorrow. Model guidance indicates a chance of development with this feature. We think there is a 40 percent chance of tropical development with this system with some potential for it to bring gusty winds and locally heavy rains to the Cape Verde Islands late this week and weekend. If the system becomes a tropical cyclone, it will remain well east of the U.S. and Caribbean.

Meteorologist: Jim Palmer