Active Systems

Beryl
Beryl has been downgraded to an open wave and is located in the northeastern Caribbean Sea along 64W. It is moving to the west-northwest near 28 mph. The peak sustained winds remain near 40 mph. However, weakening is expected today as Beryl passes south of Puerto Rico and moves ashore into the Dominican Republic. Some models indicate that Beryl will regenerate near or just north of the Bahamas in a couple of days. Hostile conditions expected in the area make that scenario unlikely.

Please see our latest advisory.

Chris
Tropical Storm Chris is stationary about 195 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, NC. The maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph. A brief period of weakening is possible today as the slow moving system produces upwelling, bringing cooler water from below the surface up and cooling the surface temperature of the water. Once Chris begins moving in a day or two, conditions will be favorable for strengthening. Chris is not expected to have much direct impact on the U.S. East Coast, but some beach erosion is possible due to the high waves being generated.

By the middle of the week, Chris is expected to be tracking to the northeast while intensifying. It is forecast to become a hurricane. Towards the end of the week, it will track near or over portions of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. Though it may lose its tropical characteristics by the time it reaches Newfoundland on Friday morning, it will likely still be a strong storm system.

Please see our latest advisory for more details.

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 16 is located along 25W and is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph. Much of the associated thunderstorms have diminished. Due to the presence of very dry air, the system is unlikely to become stronger. Development is not expected.

Meteorologist: Jim Palmer