Active Systems
None

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a very weak surface low pressure center has formed south of Pensacola, Florida. We are identifying this feature as Disturbance 13. Although squalls have increased offshore over the past 12 hours, there is no evidence that the low is becoming any better organized this afternoon. Models are in good agreement that the low will track inland into southeast Louisiana tomorrow morning. Development chances remain low, perhaps 10 percent.

Regardless of whether or not the low develops into a depression prior to tomorrow morning, the main impact remains the potential for heavy rainfall. In general, the disturbance may produce 1-3 inches of rain from southeast Louisiana to southeast Texas over the next 48 hours. Some areas could see as much as 4-6 inches, however. No widespread flooding is expected.

Disturbance 11 is located in the central Caribbean Sea. It is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph. No tropical development is expected.

Disturbance 12 is located along 52W. It is moving westward at 25 mph. No tropical development is expected.

Disturbance 14 is located along 22W. It is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days. There is a fairly large area of squalls associated with this disturbance. However, environmental conditions are not that favorable for development. The chance of tropical development during the next 7 days is near zero.

Meteorologist: Chris Hebert