A forecast update provided today by our colleagues from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center (LMRFC) is here. The stages at New Orleans (Carrollton Gage) will continue to slowly rise until cresting at 13.0 feet on March 19, 2022 before beginning a steady fall to 9.6 feet on April 13, 2022.
The following details are reproduced from the attached report:
“The Mississippi River is cresting from Greenville, MS to Vicksburg, MS. Cresting conditions should continue downstream over the next several days.
The lower Ohio River and lower Mississippi River above Greenville, MS have crested and all locations are falling. Minor flooding should end on the lower Ohio River by this weekend. Minor flooding should also end this week on the lower Mississippi River from Caruthersville, MO to Mhoon Landing, MS.
Minor flooding will continue at Natchez, MS and Red River Landing, LA for a couple of more weeks.
Early next week, two to four inches of rainfall is forecast over parts of Arkansas and Mississippi extending north into the lower Missouri and lower Ohio Valleys. This rainfall may cause renewed minor flooding over smaller tributaries in Arkansas, north Mississippi, south Missouri, and west Tennessee. The rainfall should not impact crests on the lower Mississippi River.
The 16 day future rainfall guidance shows recessions on the lower Ohio River through the middle of next week and then renewed rises for early April. The lower Ohio River could return to minor flooding for the first week of April. The rises would prolong flooding at Red River Landing, LA and extend elevated levels on the lower Mississippi River through the middle of April.”
Please see the attachment for complete details.