The below information was received from Mr. Tim Osborn (NOAA).
- Regardless of development, this system will likely bring an increased chance in rainfall – with locally heavy rainfall possible – by late in the weekend into early next week to portions of south/coastal Mississippi and southeast Louisiana.
Emergency Managers of Southeast Louisiana and Southern Mississippi –
Here is the first update concerning the potential for tropical cyclone development in the Gulf of Mexico.
There is a LOW (30%) chance of tropical cyclone development across the Gulf of Mexico over the next 5 days.
A trough of low pressure currently near the southeast Bahamas may have limited development the next couple days while it moves west-northwestward across the Bahamas.
Conditions could become a little more conducive for tropical cyclone development when the system moves over the Florida Straits and the Gulf of Mexico late this week and this weekend.
Regardless of development, this system will likely bring an increased chance in rainfall – with locally heavy rainfall possible – by late in the weekend into early next week to portions of south/coastal Mississippi and southeast Louisiana.
The graphic(s) below highlights the potential development area of the disturbance.
Additional Information and Resources:NWS New Orleans Website: www.weather.gov/neworleansNWS New Orleans DSS Website: http://www.weather.gov/lix/embriefRiver Gauges and Forecasts: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lixNWS New Orleans Facebook: www.facebook.com/NWSNewOrleansNWS New Orleans Twitter: https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleansOnline Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.weather.gov/lix/submit_storm_report
Next Update and Contact Information:The next update will be sent tomorrow afternoon, or sooner if significant changes in forecasts or impacts are expected. If you have any questions in the interim or need additional information, please do not hesitate to contact us. We can be reached by phone at 504-522-7330 or 985-649-0429. Use extension 4 to speak with a forecaster. Alternatively, you can reach us by email at email@example.com or through NWSChat.