Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
A disturbance is forecast to form from an old frontal boundary midway between Bermuda and the southern Bahamas by Sunday or early Monday. This disturbance is predicted to move to the north and to the northeast away from the eastern United States and the Bahamas next week. There is a 20 percent chance of tropical development with the disturbance late this weekend through Tuesday of next week. The system is expected to weaken and become absorbed by a frontal system by the middle of next week near or to the north of Bermuda.

We are continuing to monitor Central America and the eastern Pacific for the potential of tropical development next week as a monsoon trough is forecast to become more active. Most of our model guidance shows some tropical development occurring over the eastern Pacific by the middle of next week. However, squalls from the active monsoon trough may produce localized flooding across portions of Central America for the middle to the latter part of next week.

Meteorologists: Claude Aultman / George Harvey