Active Systems
| Name | Max Wind | Classification | Lat | Lon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie | 60 mph | Tropical Storm | 37.2N | 52.0W |
| Fourteen | 35 mph | Tropical Depression | 18.7N | 87.0W |
Leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie is about 1100 miles west of the western Azores. It is moving to the east near 12 mph. Leslie is expected to pass between the Azores and Madeira late this week. Winds are currently 60 mph. Leslie could regain hurricane intensity later this week. Please see our latest advisory for more information.
Disturbance 47
Disturbance 47 was recently upgraded to Tropical Depression Fourteen. The depression is about 105 miles south of Cozumel Island. It is nearly stationary. However, a northward motion should soon resume. Our forecast is for the depression to become a tropical storm later today as it moves near the Yucatan. Heavy rain is expected for the Yucatan and western Cuba. Thereafter, it is expected to move toward the northern Gulf Coast. Landfall is forecast to occur Wednesday morning between Mobile Bay and the Big Bend of Florida. At that time, the depression is forecast to be a hurricane. Please see our latest advisory on your client weather website for more information.
Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 50 has formed about 390 miles west of Madeira. It is moving to the east near 5 mph. This disturbance is a nontropical area of low pressure. There is a 30 percent chance that it could become a subtropical storm. Enhanced rainfall may occur by midweek for Madeira.
Disturbance 48 is located along 38W. It is moving to the west-northwest near 10 mph. This motion is expected to continue. While there has been an increase in squalls associated with this disturbance, environmental conditions are only marginal for further development. The chance of development is 20 percent. Longer term, this disturbance is expected to pass north of the Leeward Islands.
Disturbance 51 has formed well south of the Cabo Verde Islands. It is moving to the west near 12 mph. A west-northwest motion is expected for the next few days. There is no immediate threat to land. There is a concentrated area of squalls associated with this disturbance. There is a 20 percent chance of tropical development.
Disturbance 49 is located along 55W. It is moving to the west near 20 mph. The disturbance should bring enhanced rainfall to parts of the Lesser Antilles today and tomorrow. However, tropical development is not expected.
The monsoon trough that spawned Tropical Depression Fourteen is likely to persist in the western Caribbean through the next 7 to 10 days. There is a chance that another tropical system could form in the area, perhaps when energy from Disturbance 49 moves into the area toward the end of the week.
Meteorologists: Derek Ortt / Nick Kosar
