Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems
None

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 30 is located along 65W in the eastern Caribbean Sea. It is moving to the west-northwest near 13 mph. This motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On this track, the disturbance will track in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles and toward the Gulf of Mexico. There is some potential for this system to develop into a low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico early next week. Model guidance is in poor agreement on the track and strength of any low pressure that may form. Some model guidance does not develop the system at all. We think the chances are around 20 percent, with a weak system the most likely scenario.

Disturbance 31 is located along 34W, and is moving to move to the west near 12 mph. There is little to no chance of tropical development. If it were to develop, no land areas would be affected.

Disturbance 32 will move off of Africa this morning. Model guidance indicates development is likely. We think there is a 60 percent chance this system will become a tropical cyclone over the next 2-3 days. Gusty winds and heavy rains are likely for the Cape Verde Islands late this week and weekend. No other land areas will be affected.

Meteorologist: Jim Palmer