Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems
None

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
Disturbance 30 is located along 56W, about 300 miles east of the Leeward Islands. It is moving to the west-northwest near 15 mph. This motion is expected to continue for the next several days. On this track, the disturbance will move over the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next couple of days. Little significant weather is expected in these areas. Thereafter, the disturbance is likely to move toward the southern Bahamas. We expect squalls to increase in association with the disturbance in the 5 to 7 day time frame, as it moves through the southern Bahamas, toward southern Florida. There is a 10 percent chance of tropical development, mainly in the 5 to 7 day time frame. Beyond 7 days, the disturbance may move toward the Gulf of Mexico, where the chance of tropical development would be a little higher.

Disturbance 31 is located along 20.5W, to the southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. The disturbance is expected to move to the west during the next few days. There is a 10 percent chance of tropical development.

Another disturbance is expected to move off of the coast of Africa in about 2 days. The computer models indicate a greater chance of development with this feature. There is a 40 percent chance of tropical development with this expected disturbance. The disturbance could bring gusty winds and locally heavy rains for the Cape Verde Islands Friday and Saturday.

Meteorologist: Derek Ortt