Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems

Name Max Wind Classification Lat Lon
Chris 105 mph Category 2 35.1N 70.2W

Hurricane Chris is about 315 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Movement is to the northeast at 22 mph. The maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph. Some additional strengthening is possible over the next 6 to 12 hours. However, we haver seen some indication of a weakening trend beginning soon on satellite imagery. Regardless, the winds will remain either unchanged or increase some before they begin decreasing this evening. Chris will be extratropical before arriving in the Newfoundland area Thursday evening, but will still produce widespread gales and locally heavy rainfall to eastern and southeastern Newfoundland on Thursday and into early Friday morning.

Please see our latest advisory for more details.

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
The remnants of Beryl are east of the Bahamas and moving slowly northward. There is a chance the system could regenerate late this week, Most guidance does not develop this system, and the guidance that does keeps it weak. If it does develop, it would move north and northeast away from the U.S. It could enhance showers and thunderstorms in the Bermuda area. Redevelopment chances are around 30 percent.

Disturbance 16 is located along 39W and is moving westward near 10 mph. The disturbance is not producing any thunderstorms and development is not expected.

Disturbance 17 has moved off of Africa and is located along 19W. The disturbance is currently producing poorly organized showers and thunderstorms, but this activity will likely decrease over the next 12 to 24 hours. Development is not expected.

Meteorologist: Jim Palmer