Tropical Cyclone Development Outlook

Active Systems

Name Max Wind Classification Lat Lon
3 30 mph Tropical Disturbance 20.6N 87.9W

3
Disturbance 3 continues moving slowly northward along the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Model guidance has shifted a little to the west overnight. Our track has been adjusted westward, taking the system inland inland into the western Florida Panhandle on Sunday.

We think that there is an 80 percent chance that the disturbance will be classified as a tropical depression and possibly a tropical storm by Saturday. However, any tropical storm-force wind will be confined to heavier squalls offshore. The primary threat to the southeast U.S. will be heavy rainfall across Florida, Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi through the holiday weekend. Please see our latest advisory for further details.

Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch
There are no other disturbances in the Atlantic Basin.

Meteorologist: Chris Hebert